Mace I will agree with most of your seat projections with the exception of Alberta.  I believe the Liberals can pick up some urban seats.  5 plus or minus.  Also think it will be large Liberal minority or perhaps a small Liberal majority.  If the NDP does as poorly as you suggest then I believe the Liberals will form a majority government.  Also predict that there will be at least 2 parties with new leaders in a years time, the Conservatives and the NDP with a chance that the Green Party finds a new leader as well.

I believe the same pollsters that Conservatives touted a few short weeks ago, when they were far in the lead.

Those same pollsters now show a strong likelihood of a Liberal majority.

I believed pollsters then. I believe them now. The real question is will Conservatives accept the results? I predict rumblings of wrong-doing similar to the "Stop the steal" nonsense from Fat Nixon since the 2020 election. Hopefully, Conservative supporters prove me wrong and, post-April 28th, they save their vitriol for the real enemy, Donald J. tRump.

https://338canada.com/polls.htm

In my "old age", I'm not very political but here are my two cents.

If the CPC is running an ad with 2 old white golfers and another with former PM Harper then they are in trouble. That's marketing to your base and not going after swing voters. 

I will say a very substantial Liberal majority though my heart is with the NDP.

I'll be flipping around the channels and looking at results on the Elections Canada website.

Last edited by Leslieville Bill (April 23, 2025 2:07 pm)

paterson1 wrote:

Actually the ad with the two older guys has been a last minute decision.  The Conservatives are not polling well in the 55+ demo, especially with men.  This is a shock, and supposedly they have had soft numbers 55+ for some time now.  With Carney entering the race the situation has got worse. 

I found the 'golf coots' ad quite amusing.

"Hey old white non-union golfers who certainly aren't a parasitic drain on the economy! Please vote for us!"
 

To get back to radio for a moment, I was stunned to hear a spot running repeatedly on AM640 Wednesday, featuring the voice of Ezra Levant of Rebel News.

He talks about Mark Carney and questions his qualifications for Prime Minister, indicating he wasn't even living in Canada until recently. The group identified as the sponsor is an organization called "For Canada," a Rebel offshoot. 

Given his reputation and what happened at last week's debate, I have to say I was surprised the ad was on the air. But if I'm not mistaken, the station may not have had the ability to refuse them airtime. There are rules during election time that allocate certain commercial time to various groups and I could be wrong, but Corus may not have had any choice but to allow it on their airwaves. 

Does anyone know what the rules are in this area?

Thank you for that link, Chrisphen. Levant does what he always does. Creates a scene, videos the scene, posts the scene and then fundraises on the back of the scene.

Same old tired BS by a child who thinks he's a genius.

Last edited by Dial Twister (April 23, 2025 6:02 pm)

Dial Twister wrote:

Thank you for that link, Chrisphen. Levant does what he always does. Creates a scene, videos the scene, posts the scene and then fundraises on the back of the scene.

Same old tired BS by a child who thinks he's a genius.

Forgive my failing on this, but every time I hear the name Ezra Levant I immediately picture Duddy Kravitz. 🤨

IIRC Levant once sued Frank Magazine for referring to him as a 'Boy from Brazil'. His assertion was he was not from Brazil. I can't remember if he won the suit.

I'm just glad my beloved CBC Radio is safe now that I don't think Peter and the Conservatives will get a majority government and close it down.. However, this writing of the Toronto centre has been the dirtiest election between the local candidates of Evan Solomon, Liberal, and Samantha Green, NDP. 

I live in London's, working class, east end. I'm working on the campaign for our incumbent NDP member, Lyndsay Mathyssen. We expect to hold the seat. Between Lyndsay and before that, her mother Irene, the NDP has owned this riding for years and years.

Last edited by turkeytop (April 27, 2025 8:42 pm)

I, for one, will be happy to see Tuesday come and put all this behind us, whoever wins. 

And apropos of nothing, remember that the anagram of "vote" is "veto." For whatever that's worth... 

Congrats to SOWNY member Toronto Mike, who seems to have become a semi-fixture on CNN talking about the Canadian election.

You can see his latest appearance on Monday here.  

If one had a talk format, and one needed a fill in host in the summer, you would think one might ask Mike if he would be interested?  He's a good communicator.   He is interested in stuff and makes it interesting.  He is also clearly a little more left - which makes him unique in that space.